The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-5) square off against the Pittsburgh Penguins (29-32-11) at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, March 25 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with each team back in action after a loss. The Lightning were defeated by the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2 in their most recent game, while the Penguins are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Florida Panthers.
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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.
The Penguins have a 5-3-2 record during their past 10 contests. They have scored 35 total goals (six power-play goals on 20 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 30.0%) while conceding 30 goals to their opponents.
Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer model for this encounter expects a final result of Lightning 5, Penguins 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-285)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 40-25-5 overall and 6-5-11 in overtime games.
- Tampa Bay is 8-8-3 (19 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
- In the eight games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
- Tampa Bay has finished 2-9-2 in the 13 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering six points).
- The Lightning are 38-7-2 in the 47 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 78 points).
- In the 27 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 37 points after finishing 18-8-1.
- In the 37 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 22-15-0 (44 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 29 times, and went 17-7-5 (39 points).
Penguins Splits and Trends
- The Penguins have earned a record of 9-11-20 in overtime games to contribute to an overall mark of 29-32-11.
- In the 21 games Pittsburgh has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 29 points.
- This season the Penguins scored only one goal in 11 games and they lost every time.
- When Pittsburgh has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned nine points (2-10-5 record).
- The Penguins have scored at least three goals 39 times, earning 60 points from those matchups (27-6-6).
- Pittsburgh has scored a single power-play goal in 27 games this season and has registered 25 points from those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 12-12-5 (29 points).
- The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 40 games. The Penguins finished 16-18-6 in those contests (38 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Penguins AVG | Penguins Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.47 | Goals Scored | 2.94 | 18th |
| 8th | 2.7 | Goals Allowed | 3.54 | 30th |
| 9th | 28.9 | Shots | 28.3 | 15th |
| 15th | 28.2 | Shots Allowed | 30.6 | 29th |
| 5th | 25.76% | Power Play % | 24.49% | 11th |
| 7th | 82.02% | Penalty Kill % | 77.25% | 18th |
Lightning vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Tuesday, March 25, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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